Africa’s Economic Growth Prospects

by Calestous Juma

Africa’s economic growth outlook has come into sharp focus recently. Some analysts have argued that claims about “Africa Rising” are a myth. Others argue that Africa’s growth is underestimated. These contrasting views, however, pay little attention to major trends that are shaping the continent: deepening regional integration; shifting trade relations; and the rise of technocratic presidencies.

Deepening Regional Integration

African economies are generally viewed as being too dependent on global trends. Their fortunes are expected to change quickly depending on what happens in the world economy, which experienced remarkable upheavals last year. More significantly, the political drama surrounding the eurozone crisis was expected to affect African economies quite dramatically.

This did not happen. The continent recorded modest decline in growth but still grew at 5% per year. This is a result of domestic growth that is not related to global trends. A closer scrutiny of the dynamics of Africa’s economic growth reveals a continent that is increasingly focusing on internal and regional trade. Continue reading

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Posted in Africa, Development, Education, Health and Safety | Tagged , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Technological Somnambulism Revisited: Sleeping through the New Invisible Surveillance Technologies

 

by Tolu Odumosu

A few months ago, I discovered that my excessive fatigue and uneasy sleep were caused by an underlying condition of severe sleep apnea. This malady causes one to stop breathing while sleeping. Humans of course, need to breathe, so the end result is that sufferers keep waking up every 5 minutes or so to restart the breathing process, all the while remaining blissfully unaware of multiple interruptions to their sleep. That is, until the fatigue begins upon waking. In my case, the recommended treatment was a CPAP (Continuous Positive Airways Pressure) machine. The CPAP machine, which is basically a refined air blower with a mask attached, has made a tremendous difference to my quality of life. Provided I use it as directed, I am actually able to get some sleep while sleeping.

My first appointment to see the sleep physician after six months of using the machine is when I discovered that my new medical device had been spying on me from the day I brought it home Continue reading

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Forging New Diplomatic Bonds Through Science and Technology

Calestous Juma

by Calestous Juma

Science and technology are being increasingly recognized as central features in international diplomacy. Much of the attention, however, has focused on how major industrialized countries and large emerging nations such as China, India, and Brazil use science and technology to advance their global competitiveness.

One of the most pressing global challenges, though, is how to leverage the power of new knowledge to help address the global economic and environmental challenges. New science and technology diplomacy responses are emerging from smaller industrialized nations working with developing countries. Continue reading

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RIP: The Basic/Applied Research Dichotomy

 

 

 

by Venkatesh Narayanamurti, Tolu Odumosu, and Lee Vinsel

From the current Issues in Science and Technology:

“U.S. science policy since World War II has in large measure been driven by Vannevar Bush’s famous paper Science—The Endless Frontier. Bush’s separation of research into ‘basic’ and ‘applied’ domains has been enshrined in much of U.S. science and technology policy over the past seven decades, and this false dichotomy has become a barrier to the development of a coherent national innovation policy. Much of the debate centers on the appropriate federal role in innovation. Bush argued successfully that funding basic research was a necessary role for government, with the implication that applied research should be left to the auspices of markets. However, the original distinction does not reflect what actually happens in research, and its narrow focus on the stated goals of an individual research project prevents us from taking a more productive holistic view of the research enterprise.

“By examining the evolution of the famous linear model of innovation, which holds that scientific research precedes technological innovation, and the problematic description of engineering as ‘applied science,’ we seek to challenge the existing dichotomies between basic and applied research and between science and engineering. To illustrate our alternative view of the research enterprise, we will follow the path of knowledge development through a series of Nobel Prizes in Physics over several decades.

“This mini-history reveals how knowledge grows through a richly interwoven system of scientific and technological research in which there is no clear hierarchy of importance and no straightforward linear trajectory. Accepting this reality has profound implications for the design of research institutions, the allocation of resources, and the national policies that guide research. This in turn can open the door to game-changing discoveries and inventions and put the nation on the path to a more sustainable science and technology ecosystem…”   (Continue reading the full text here)

About the authors:

Venkatesh Narayanamurti (venky@seas.harvard.edu) is the Benjamin Peirce Professor of Technology and Public Policy and professor of Physics at Harvard University and the director of the Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program at the Harvard Kennedy School.

Tolu Odumosu is a postdoctoral research fellow in the Science, Technology, and Public Policy Program at the Harvard Kennedy School and at Harvard’s School of Engineering and Applied Sciences.

Lee Vinsel is a postdoctoral research fellow in the Science, Technology, and Society Program at the Harvard Kennedy School and at Harvard’s School of Engineering and Applied Sciences.

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Development: Learning from Singapore’s Lee Kuan Yew

Calestous Juma

Calestous Juma

 

by Calestous Juma

 

When history is said to repeat itself, it is never for good reasons. George Bernard Shaw captured this when he said: “If history repeats itself, and the unexpected always happens, how incapable must Man be of learning from experience.”

The question of whether nations can learn from history nag policymakers around the world. Part of the problem is that history is handed down through a variety of interpretations that do not reflect reality. But contemporary history, if genuine presented, can offer policy makers with lessons they can learn from.

This is the central message in the newly released book, Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master’s Insights on China, the United States, and the World, by Graham Allison and Robert Blackwill, with Ali Wyne. This is a contemporary account of Lee Kuan Yew’s thinking as told through a series of interviews. Continue reading

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How Young Engineers Will Mold the Future

Calestous Juma

by Calestous Juma

 

In a provocative article, the Economist recently asked whether new technology had stopped driving the world economy. The article challenged innovation pessimists by providing several examples of technologies that mold future economies.

The most urgent question, however, is how to train a new generation of young engineers who will be capable of combining technical excellence with a deeper appreciation of societal needs and values.

This was the theme of a recent meeting that brought together educators interested in engineering at the Harvard Kennedy School. The focus of the meeting was to identify ways in which universities and high schools can work together to train the next generation of engineers who can help solve the world’s most pressing economic and environmental challenges. Continue reading

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Persecuting Biotechnology

Calestous Juma

 

by Calestous Juma

In a widely circulated speech, UK environmental activist Mark Lynas has apologized for his past history of demonizing transgenic crops and masterminding the anti-biotechnology campaign.  Explaining at the Oxford Farming Conference in January 2013 why he changed his mind, Lynas said: “I discovered science, and in the process I hope to become a better environmentalist.”

Such apologetic statements help to signal the changing times and the shift in the balance of evidence. However, much persecution of biotechnology has been done using laws that severely and unfairly restrict into development and deployment.  Those laws need to be reviewed so they reflect the balance of evidence today. Continue reading

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Posted in Africa, Agriculture, Development, Health, Innovation | Tagged , , | 3 Comments

Biotechnology and Africa’s Strategic Interests

Calestous Juma

Calestous Juma

 

by Calestous Juma

(Cross-posted from Global Food for Thought)

Global food politics are riddled with paradoxes. While threats to global food security are becoming increasingly evident, efforts to stall the adoption of new technologies appear to intensify.

There is a clear disconnect between comfort with familiar agricultural practices and the food challenges that lie ahead. Though food is recognized as a national security issue, it has yet to acquire the strategic importance it deserves, especially in African countries. The lack of strategic thinking underlies many of the poor decisions that many African countries make regarding agricultural biotechnology.

The world food outlook for 2013 has been the subject of grim forecasts based on evidence of drought in the United States and other regions of the world. But amid these concerns countries such as Kenya have taken the unusual decision to ban the importation of genetically modified (GM) food pending further information on their safety.

Part of the anxiety appears to have been driven by a recent French study that mice allegedly developed tumors after being fed GM foods. The study has been dismissed as fundamentally flawed by several national food safety agencies across Europe as well as the European Food Safety Authority.

The U.S. drought and the likely political ramifications serve as reminder of the urgency for African nations to define the use of emerging agricultural technologies as a central part of their national security. Continue reading

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Cap-and-Trade, Carbon Taxes, and My Neighbor’s Lovely Lawn

Credit: Wall Street Journal

 

A Challenge for Climate Negotiators, and an Opportunity for Scholars

by Robert N. Stavins

The recent demise of serious political consideration of an economy-wide U.S. CO2 cap-and-trade system and the even more recent resurgence in interest among policy wonks in a U.S. carbon taxshould prompt reflection on where we’ve been, where we are, and where we may be going.

Lessons

Almost fifteen years ago, in an article that appeared in 1998 in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, “What Can We Learn from the Grand Policy Experiment?  Lessons from SO2 Allowance Trading,” I examined the implications of what was then the very new emissions trading program set up by the Clean Air Act Amendments of 1990 to cut acid rain by half over the succeeding decade.  In that article, I attempted to offer some guidance regarding the conditions under which cap-and-trade (then known as “tradable permits”) was likely to work well, or not so well.  Here’s a brief summary of what I wrote at the time:

(1)  SO2 trading was a case where the cost of abating pollution differed widely among sources, and where a market-based system was therefore likely to have greater gains, relative to conventional, command-and-control regulations (Newell and Stavins 2003). It was clear early on that SO2 abatement cost heterogeneity was great, because of differences in ages of plants and their proximity to sources of low-sulfur coal. But where abatement costs are more uniform across sources, the political costs of enacting an allowance trading approach are less likely to be justifiable.  Read more here.

Robert N. Stavins is Albert Pratt Professor of Business and Government. He serves as director or the Harvard Project on Climate Agreements, director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program, chair of the Environment and Natural Resources Faculty Group, chairman of Ph.D. Programs in Public Policy and Political Economy & Government, and co-chair of the Kennedy School-Harvard Business School Joint Degree Programs. Prof. Stavins is a member of the board, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs

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Sandy Turned off the Lights, the Phones, and the Heat

A cyber attack could make it all happen again.

by Joel Brenner

Verizon’s chief technology officer surveyed a flooded major switching facility in lower Manhattan and put it bluntly: “There is nothing working here. Quite frankly, this is wider than the impacts of 9/11.” Damage from Sandy is estimated to reach $20 billion, and interrupted phone service is among the least of it. Flooding in New York’s century-old subway system is without parallel. Bridges and roads, homes and businesses have been destroyed. Days after the storm, many businesses remain closed, their employees out of work. And tens of thousands are suffering — cold and in the dark.

Storms and floods are not the only infrastructure threats that invoke comparisons to 9/11. Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta made headlines recently when he noted that the economic consequences of a successful cyber attack on our financial system, electric grid, or other infrastructure could dwarf the economic consequences of 9/11. Actually, this wasn’t news. Former Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell had said the same thing five years earlier. They’re both right. And the consequences of that kind of attack might not be merely financial. A cyber attack causing an explosion at a chemical plant, for example, could cause grievous loss of life.

This is not fantasy…

[This article appears in its entirety on ForeignPolicy.com. Read more here.]

Joel Brenner is a former senior counsel at the National Security Agency, where he advised on legal and policy issues relating to network security. Previously, he served as the national counterintelligence executive in the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and as NSA’s inspector general. He is a graduate of the University of Wisconsin-Madison (B.A.), The London School of Economics (Ph.D.), and Harvard Law School (J.D.). Brenner currently practices law in Washington, D.C., specializing in cyber-security and related issues.

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